{"id":9693,"date":"2012-12-31T11:12:42","date_gmt":"2012-12-31T11:12:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/?p=9693"},"modified":"2012-12-31T11:12:42","modified_gmt":"2012-12-31T11:12:42","slug":"blog-year-2012-in-review","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/12\/31\/blog-year-2012-in-review\/","title":{"rendered":"Blog year 2012 in review"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Highlights of the blog over the past year.<\/p>\n<h2>Most popular posts<\/h2>\n<p>The posts with the most hits during the year.<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/01\/05\/the-top-7-portfolio-optimization-problems\/\">The top 7 portfolio optimization problems<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2010\/10\/04\/a-tale-of-two-returns\/\">A tale of two returns<\/a> (posted in 2010)<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/07\/06\/a-practical-introduction-to-garch-modeling\/\">A practical introduction to garch modeling<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/09\/03\/a-look-at-bayesian-statistics\/\">A look at Bayesian statistics<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/07\/23\/a-comparison-of-some-heuristic-optimization-methods\/\">A comparison of some heuristic optimization methods<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/01\/23\/the-distribution-of-financial-returns-made-simple\/\">The distribution of financial returns made simple<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2011\/01\/12\/the-number-1-novice-quant-mistake\/\">The number 1 novice quant mistake<\/a> (posted in 2011)<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/01\/02\/market-predictions-for-years-2011-and-2012\/\">Market predictions for years 2011 and 2012<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2010\/08\/25\/what-the-hell-is-a-variance-matrix\/\">What the hell is a variance matrix?<\/a> (posted in 2010)<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/02\/16\/the-burstfin-r-package\/\">The BurStFin R package<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/03\/26\/beta-is-not-volatility\/\">Beta is not volatility<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/01\/30\/review-of-models-behaving-badly-by-emanuel-derman\/\">Review of \u201cModels. Behaving. Badly.\u201d by Emanuel Derman<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2011\/11\/08\/the-mystery-of-volatility-estimates-from-daily-versus-monthly-returns\/\">The mystery of volatility estimates from daily versus monthly returns<\/a> (posted in 2011)<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/01\/16\/a-slice-of-sp-500-skewness-history\/\">A slice of S&amp;P 500 skewness history<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/02\/20\/what-does-passive-investing-really-mean\/\">What does \u2018passive investing\u2019 really mean<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/03\/12\/the-quality-of-variance-matrix-estimation\/\">The quality of variance matrix estimation<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/08\/13\/highlights-of-r-in-finance-2012\/\">Highlights of R in Finance 2012<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<h2>Most under-valued posts<\/h2>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/12\/31\/blog-year-2012-in-review\/origin_financial_crises-2\/\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-9715\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-9715\" alt=\"origin_financial_crises\" src=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/12\/origin_financial_crises.jpg\" width=\"300\" height=\"444\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/12\/origin_financial_crises.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/12\/origin_financial_crises-250x370.jpg 250w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>There is probably no other thing I saw in 2012 with more power to improve the world than <a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/03\/19\/review-of-the-origin-of-financial-crises-by-george-cooper\/\"><em>The Origin of Financial Crises<\/em> by George Cooper<\/a>. This explains why central banks are a necessary evil, and how they are currently more focused on the evil than the necessary.<\/p>\n<p>My second nomination for under-valued is the post that explains several ways that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/05\/14\/random-portfolios-6-steps-to-a-better-fund-management-industry\/\">random portfolios can change fund management for the better<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Finally there&#8217;s the post that proposes <a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/06\/11\/smoothing-the-market-for-alpha\/\">a simple thing that would improve the prospects of prospective fund managers<\/a>.<\/p>\n<h2>Book reviews<\/h2>\n<p>Table 1 summarizes (and has links to) the reviews of books during the year.<\/p>\n<p>Table 1: Recommendations of reviewed books.<\/p>\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>title<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>author<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>recommended<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/10\/22\/introduction-to-tao-te-programming\/\"><em>Tao Te Programming<\/em><\/a><\/td>\n<td>Patrick Burns<\/td>\n<td>have a guess<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/03\/19\/review-of-the-origin-of-financial-crises-by-george-cooper\/\"><em>The Origin of Financial Crises<\/em><\/a><\/td>\n<td>George Cooper<\/td>\n<td>highly<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/01\/30\/review-of-models-behaving-badly-by-emanuel-derman\/\"><em>Models. Behaving. Badly.<\/em><\/a><\/td>\n<td>Emanuel Derman<\/td>\n<td>yes<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/10\/15\/review-of-r-for-dummies\/\"><em>R For Dummies<\/em><\/a><\/td>\n<td>Andrie de Vries, Joris Meys<\/td>\n<td>highly<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/09\/12\/review-of-numerical-methods-and-optimization-in-finance-by-gilli-maringer-and-schumann\/\"><em>Numerical Methods and Optimization in Finance<\/em><\/a><\/td>\n<td>Manfred Gilli, Dietmar Maringer, Enrico Schumann<\/td>\n<td>yes<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/06\/22\/two-new-important-books-on-r\/\"><em>Programming Graphical User Interfaces in R<\/em><\/a><\/td>\n<td>Michael Lawrence, John Verzani<\/td>\n<td>for some<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/12\/31\/blog-year-2012-in-review\/9781119962847-cover-indd-3\/\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-9716\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-9716\" alt=\"9781119962847 cover.indd\" src=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/12\/11199628461.jpg\" width=\"300\" height=\"378\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/12\/11199628461.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/12\/11199628461-250x315.jpg 250w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>There was not only a review of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/10\/15\/review-of-r-for-dummies\/\"><em>R For Dummies<\/em><\/a> but also a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/10\/15\/annotations-for-r-for-dummies\/\">set of annotations<\/a> for it.<\/p>\n<h2>Fund management<\/h2>\n<p>There was something <a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/07\/16\/2-dimensions-of-portfolio-diversity\/\">possibly informative on portfolio diversity<\/a> as well as some <a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/tag\/portfolio-diversity\/\">other attempts<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/04\/02\/replacing-market-indices\/\">Thinking beyond indices<\/a> was urged, which prompted the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/category\/market-portrait\/\">market portraits<\/a>.\u00a0 Random portfolios can encourage the expanded viewpoint as well as <a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/05\/14\/random-portfolios-6-steps-to-a-better-fund-management-industry\/\">improve fund management in other ways<\/a>.\u00a0 There was also a report on a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/03\/16\/the-battle-of-fundamental-index\/\">debate about fundamental indices<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/tag\/low-volatility-investing\/\">Low volatility<\/a> appeared a number of times.<\/p>\n<p>Other posts included:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/06\/11\/smoothing-the-market-for-alpha\/\">Smoothing the market for alpha<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/06\/20\/high-frequency-trading-and-the-volume-clock\/\">High frequency trading and the volume clock<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/07\/02\/random-portfolios-versus-monte-carlo\/\">Random portfolios versus Monte Carlo<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/01\/26\/positional-stocks\/\">Positional stocks<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/01\/02\/market-predictions-for-years-2011-and-2012\/\">Market predictions for years 2011 and 2012<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Funny pages<\/h2>\n<p>The video in the review of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/01\/30\/review-of-models-behaving-badly-by-emanuel-derman\/\"><em>Models. Behaving. Badly.<\/em><\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Everything I\u2019ve ever told you has been a lie, including that.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>&#8212; the devil in \u201cBedazzled\u201d<br \/>\n<object width=\"480\" height=\"360\" classid=\"clsid:d27cdb6e-ae6d-11cf-96b8-444553540000\" codebase=\"http:\/\/download.macromedia.com\/pub\/shockwave\/cabs\/flash\/swflash.cab#version=6,0,40,0\"><param name=\"allowFullScreen\" value=\"true\" \/><param name=\"allowscriptaccess\" value=\"always\" \/><param name=\"src\" value=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/v\/j7qib6KFEcY?version=3&amp;hl=en_GB\" \/><param name=\"allowfullscreen\" value=\"true\" \/><embed width=\"480\" height=\"360\" type=\"application\/x-shockwave-flash\" src=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/v\/j7qib6KFEcY?version=3&amp;hl=en_GB\" allowFullScreen=\"true\" allowscriptaccess=\"always\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" \/><\/object><\/p>\n<p>From <a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/03\/16\/the-battle-of-fundamental-index\/\">&#8220;The battle of Fundamental Index&#8221;<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Gentlemen, you can&#8217;t fight in here.  This is the war room.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><object width=\"520\" height=\"382\" classid=\"clsid:d27cdb6e-ae6d-11cf-96b8-444553540000\" codebase=\"http:\/\/download.macromedia.com\/pub\/shockwave\/cabs\/flash\/swflash.cab#version=6,0,40,0\"><param name=\"allowFullScreen\" value=\"true\" \/><param name=\"allowscriptaccess\" value=\"always\" \/><param name=\"src\" value=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/v\/UAeqVGP-GPM?version=3&amp;hl=en_GB\" \/><param name=\"allowfullscreen\" value=\"true\" \/><embed width=\"520\" height=\"382\" type=\"application\/x-shockwave-flash\" src=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/v\/UAeqVGP-GPM?version=3&amp;hl=en_GB\" allowFullScreen=\"true\" allowscriptaccess=\"always\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" \/><\/object><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/05\/31\/inferno-ish-r\/\">Inferno-ish R<\/a> also references Dr. Strangelove.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/06\/11\/smoothing-the-market-for-alpha\/\">&#8220;Smoothing the market for alpha&#8221;<\/a> has:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u201cThis stuff is better than cotton candy, really it is. It\u2019s made out of real cotton. Yossarian, you\u2019ve got to help me make the men eat it. Egyptian cotton is the finest cotton in the world.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>from <em>Catch-22<\/em> by Joseph Heller<br \/>\n<object width=\"520\" height=\"390\" classid=\"clsid:d27cdb6e-ae6d-11cf-96b8-444553540000\" codebase=\"http:\/\/download.macromedia.com\/pub\/shockwave\/cabs\/flash\/swflash.cab#version=6,0,40,0\"><param name=\"allowFullScreen\" value=\"true\" \/><param name=\"allowscriptaccess\" value=\"always\" \/><param name=\"src\" value=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/v\/wgP6a_cc0Zw?version=3&amp;hl=en_GB\" \/><param name=\"allowfullscreen\" value=\"true\" \/><embed width=\"520\" height=\"390\" type=\"application\/x-shockwave-flash\" src=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/v\/wgP6a_cc0Zw?version=3&amp;hl=en_GB\" allowFullScreen=\"true\" allowscriptaccess=\"always\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" \/><\/object><\/p>\n<h2>Optimization<\/h2>\n<p>A pair of posts compared a number of heuristic optimizers in R.\u00a0 One used a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/07\/23\/a-comparison-of-some-heuristic-optimization-methods\/\">tiny, unrealistic portfolio optimization<\/a> problem.\u00a0 The other used a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/08\/20\/another-comparison-of-heuristic-optimizers\/\">larger but still unrealistic portfolio optimization<\/a>.<\/p>\n<h2>Performance<\/h2>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/11\/26\/discovering-the-quality-of-portfolio-decisions\/\">&#8220;Discovering the quality of portfolio decisions&#8221;<\/a> shows how randomness can be used not only for performance measurement, but for attribution as well.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/09\/10\/not-fooled-by-randomness\/\">&#8220;Not fooled by randomness&#8221;<\/a> points to a paper that studies the use of random portfolios for performance measurement.<\/p>\n<p>There was also a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/09\/07\/sharpe-ratios-replacing-managers-and-random-portfolios\/\">post that discussed two papers<\/a> from the <em>Journal of Asset Management<\/em>.<\/p>\n<h2>Quant finance<\/h2>\n<p>There was a suggestion of how to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/12\/06\/again-with-variability-of-long-short-decile-tests\/\">improve the ubiquitous long-short decile tests<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>A number of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/tag\/garch\/\">posts talked about garch<\/a>, most prominently <a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/07\/06\/a-practical-introduction-to-garch-modeling\/\">&#8220;A practical introduction to garch modeling&#8221;<\/a>. There&#8217;s a piece <a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/06\/18\/cross-sectional-spread-of-stock-returns\/\">relating garch to cross sectional variability<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Volatility clustering impacts the distribution of returns.\u00a0 The satire in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/01\/23\/the-distribution-of-financial-returns-made-simple\/\">&#8220;The distribution of financial returns made simple&#8221;<\/a> seems to have alluded some readers.\u00a0 What happens to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/07\/30\/returns-with-negative-net-asset-values\/\">returns when the net asset value goes negative<\/a>? Try to avoid <a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/11\/05\/an-easy-mistake-with-returns\/\">an easy mistake with returns<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Factor models were explained <a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/04\/09\/three-things-factor-models-do\/\">in general<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/11\/12\/the-guts-of-a-statistical-factor-model\/\">more specifically<\/a>.\u00a0 You can see <a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/10\/01\/how-to-add-a-benchmark-to-a-variance-matrix\/\">how to add a benchmark to a variance<\/a>.\u00a0 There was a glimpse at the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/03\/12\/the-quality-of-variance-matrix-estimation\/\">quality of variance matrix estimation<\/a>.\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/07\/09\/alpha-alignment\/\">Alpha alignment<\/a> is a related concept.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/01\/05\/the-top-7-portfolio-optimization-problems\/\">Top problems with portfolio optimization<\/a> were highlighted.<\/p>\n<p>Some pieces explored <a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/tag\/skewness\/\">skewness<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/tag\/kurtosis\/\">kurtosis<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Other notable posts were:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/06\/04\/variability-in-maximum-drawdown\/\">maximum drawdown seems too variable<\/a> to be useful<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/10\/10\/sp-500-sector-strengths\/\">how should we assess the strength of sectors?<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/02\/27\/realized-efficient-frontiers\/\">realized efficient frontiers<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/05\/28\/jackknifing-portfolio-decision-returns\/\">can jackknifing be useful?<\/a><\/li>\n<li>it&#8217;s a surprise to some that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/03\/26\/beta-is-not-volatility\/\">beta is not volatility<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>R<\/h2>\n<p>In addition to being a good year for books on R, there was another successful <a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/08\/13\/highlights-of-r-in-finance-2012\/\">R\/Finance conference<\/a>, the appearance of the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/02\/16\/the-burstfin-r-package\/\">BurStFin package on CRAN<\/a>, and the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/05\/31\/inferno-ish-r\/\">debut of CambR<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Potentially useful items are:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/01\/19\/how-to-search-the-r-sig-finance-archives\/\">how to search R-sig-finance (and other mailing list) archives<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/07\/26\/r-inferno-ism-order-is-not-rank\/\">a reminder that order is not rank<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/12\/24\/miles-of-iles\/\">a function to give you ntile groups (quartiles, deciles, &#8230;)<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Risk<\/h2>\n<p>There were three posts about Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/10\/23\/the-basics-of-value-at-risk-and-expected-shortfall\/\">The basics of Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/11\/19\/the-estimation-of-value-at-risk-and-expected-shortfall\/\">The estimation of Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/12\/17\/a-look-at-historical-value-at-risk\/\">A look at historical Value at Risk<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Statistics<\/h2>\n<p>There were explanations of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/09\/03\/a-look-at-bayesian-statistics\/\">Bayesian statistics<\/a> and the decidedly non-Bayesian <a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/02\/06\/the-us-market-will-absolutely-positively-definitely-go-up-in-2012\/\">concept of p-values<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>The idea of limits appeared in the posts on:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/04\/16\/information-flows-like-water\/\">information flowing like water<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/03\/05\/the-shadows-and-light-of-models\/\">models being used to gauge what we can&#8217;t know<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/05\/17\/exponential-decay-models\/\">exponential decay models being selected for their light touch on resources<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Soundtrack<\/h2>\n<h3>The Tyger<\/h3>\n<blockquote><p>What immortal hand or eye<br \/>\nCould frame thy fearful symmetry?<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>from \u201cThe Tyger\u201d by William Blake<\/p>\n<p><object width=\"520\" height=\"310\" classid=\"clsid:d27cdb6e-ae6d-11cf-96b8-444553540000\" codebase=\"http:\/\/download.macromedia.com\/pub\/shockwave\/cabs\/flash\/swflash.cab#version=6,0,40,0\"><param name=\"allowFullScreen\" value=\"true\" \/><param name=\"allowscriptaccess\" value=\"always\" \/><param name=\"src\" value=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/v\/8iNhSJzL3mk?version=3&amp;hl=en_GB\" \/><param name=\"allowfullscreen\" value=\"true\" \/><embed width=\"520\" height=\"310\" type=\"application\/x-shockwave-flash\" src=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/v\/8iNhSJzL3mk?version=3&amp;hl=en_GB\" allowFullScreen=\"true\" allowscriptaccess=\"always\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" \/><\/object><\/p>\n<h3>The Seeker<\/h3>\n<blockquote><p>I\u2019ve looked under chairs<br \/>\nI\u2019ve looked under tables<br \/>\nI\u2019ve tried to find the key<br \/>\nTo fifty million fables<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>from \u201cThe Seeker\u201d by Pete Townshend<\/p>\n<p><object width=\"480\" height=\"360\" classid=\"clsid:d27cdb6e-ae6d-11cf-96b8-444553540000\" codebase=\"http:\/\/download.macromedia.com\/pub\/shockwave\/cabs\/flash\/swflash.cab#version=6,0,40,0\"><param name=\"allowFullScreen\" value=\"true\" \/><param name=\"allowscriptaccess\" value=\"always\" \/><param name=\"src\" value=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/v\/aL83IZwsMls?version=3&amp;hl=en_GB\" \/><param name=\"allowfullscreen\" value=\"true\" \/><embed width=\"480\" height=\"360\" type=\"application\/x-shockwave-flash\" src=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/v\/aL83IZwsMls?version=3&amp;hl=en_GB\" allowFullScreen=\"true\" allowscriptaccess=\"always\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" \/><\/object><\/p>\n<h3>Swordfishtrombone<\/h3>\n<blockquote><p>and if you think that you can tell a bigger tale<br \/>\nI swear to God you\u2019d have to tell a lie\u2026<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>from \u201cSwordfishtrombone\u201d by Tom Waits<\/p>\n<p><object width=\"480\" height=\"360\" classid=\"clsid:d27cdb6e-ae6d-11cf-96b8-444553540000\" codebase=\"http:\/\/download.macromedia.com\/pub\/shockwave\/cabs\/flash\/swflash.cab#version=6,0,40,0\"><param name=\"allowFullScreen\" value=\"true\" \/><param name=\"allowscriptaccess\" value=\"always\" \/><param name=\"src\" value=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/v\/-FRgGheX4jk?version=3&amp;hl=en_GB\" \/><param name=\"allowfullscreen\" value=\"true\" \/><embed width=\"480\" height=\"360\" type=\"application\/x-shockwave-flash\" src=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/v\/-FRgGheX4jk?version=3&amp;hl=en_GB\" allowFullScreen=\"true\" allowscriptaccess=\"always\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" \/><\/object><\/p>\n<h3>I Am the Ride<\/h3>\n<blockquote><p>And they asked if I believe<br \/>\nAnd do the angels really grieve<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>from \u201cI Am the Ride\u201d by Chris Smithers<\/p>\n<p><object width=\"480\" height=\"360\" classid=\"clsid:d27cdb6e-ae6d-11cf-96b8-444553540000\" codebase=\"http:\/\/download.macromedia.com\/pub\/shockwave\/cabs\/flash\/swflash.cab#version=6,0,40,0\"><param name=\"allowFullScreen\" value=\"true\" \/><param name=\"allowscriptaccess\" value=\"always\" \/><param name=\"src\" value=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/v\/C4Izkay88YI?version=3&amp;hl=en_GB\" \/><param name=\"allowfullscreen\" value=\"true\" \/><embed width=\"480\" height=\"360\" type=\"application\/x-shockwave-flash\" src=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/v\/C4Izkay88YI?version=3&amp;hl=en_GB\" allowFullScreen=\"true\" allowscriptaccess=\"always\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" \/><\/object><\/p>\n<h3>Long Tail Cat<\/h3>\n<blockquote><p>Long tailed cat sitting by the old rocking chair<br \/>\nHe don\u2019t realize that there\u2019s a danger there<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>from \u201cLong Tail Cat\u201d by Kenny Loggins<\/p>\n<h3>Hold You in My Arms<\/h3>\n<blockquote><p>Don\u2019t prophesize<br \/>\nI could hold you in my arms<br \/>\nI could hold you forever<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>from \u201cHold You in My Arms\u201d by Ray LaMontagne<\/p>\n<p><object width=\"520\" height=\"294\" classid=\"clsid:d27cdb6e-ae6d-11cf-96b8-444553540000\" codebase=\"http:\/\/download.macromedia.com\/pub\/shockwave\/cabs\/flash\/swflash.cab#version=6,0,40,0\"><param name=\"allowFullScreen\" value=\"true\" \/><param name=\"allowscriptaccess\" value=\"always\" \/><param name=\"src\" value=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/v\/O6O-8crNF_M?version=3&amp;hl=en_GB\" \/><param name=\"allowfullscreen\" value=\"true\" \/><embed width=\"520\" height=\"294\" type=\"application\/x-shockwave-flash\" src=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/v\/O6O-8crNF_M?version=3&amp;hl=en_GB\" allowFullScreen=\"true\" allowscriptaccess=\"always\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" \/><\/object><\/p>\n<h3>Beeswing<\/h3>\n<blockquote><p>the price you pay for the chains you refuse<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>from \u201cBeeswing\u201d by Richard Thompson<\/p>\n<p><object width=\"520\" height=\"382\" classid=\"clsid:d27cdb6e-ae6d-11cf-96b8-444553540000\" codebase=\"http:\/\/download.macromedia.com\/pub\/shockwave\/cabs\/flash\/swflash.cab#version=6,0,40,0\"><param name=\"allowFullScreen\" value=\"true\" \/><param name=\"allowscriptaccess\" value=\"always\" \/><param name=\"src\" value=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/v\/HApy-Xoix-g?version=3&amp;hl=en_GB\" \/><param name=\"allowfullscreen\" value=\"true\" \/><embed width=\"520\" height=\"382\" type=\"application\/x-shockwave-flash\" src=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/v\/HApy-Xoix-g?version=3&amp;hl=en_GB\" allowFullScreen=\"true\" allowscriptaccess=\"always\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" \/><\/object><\/p>\n<h3>Soy Luz y Sombra<\/h3>\n<blockquote><p>Preguntale al polvo de donde nacimos.<br \/>\nPreguntale al bosque que con la lluvia crecimos.<\/p>\n<p>Ask the dust from which we were born.<br \/>\nAsk the forest with which we grew in the rain.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>from \u201cSoy Luz y Sombra\u201d (I am Light and Shadow)<\/p>\n<p><object width=\"520\" height=\"382\" classid=\"clsid:d27cdb6e-ae6d-11cf-96b8-444553540000\" codebase=\"http:\/\/download.macromedia.com\/pub\/shockwave\/cabs\/flash\/swflash.cab#version=6,0,40,0\"><param name=\"allowFullScreen\" value=\"true\" \/><param name=\"allowscriptaccess\" value=\"always\" \/><param name=\"src\" value=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/v\/WCMKxFxr0D0?version=3&amp;hl=en_GB\" \/><param name=\"allowfullscreen\" value=\"true\" \/><embed width=\"520\" height=\"382\" type=\"application\/x-shockwave-flash\" src=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/v\/WCMKxFxr0D0?version=3&amp;hl=en_GB\" allowFullScreen=\"true\" allowscriptaccess=\"always\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" \/><\/object><\/p>\n<h3>Furr<\/h3>\n<blockquote><p>It turned out to be the howling of a dog<br \/>\nOr a wolf, to be exact.<br \/>\nThe sound sent shivers down my back<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>from \u201cFurr\u201d by Eric Earley<\/p>\n<p><object width=\"520\" height=\"382\" classid=\"clsid:d27cdb6e-ae6d-11cf-96b8-444553540000\" codebase=\"http:\/\/download.macromedia.com\/pub\/shockwave\/cabs\/flash\/swflash.cab#version=6,0,40,0\"><param name=\"allowFullScreen\" value=\"true\" \/><param name=\"allowscriptaccess\" value=\"always\" \/><param name=\"src\" value=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/v\/bqtlcHiSHTE?version=3&amp;hl=en_GB\" \/><param name=\"allowfullscreen\" value=\"true\" \/><embed width=\"520\" height=\"382\" type=\"application\/x-shockwave-flash\" src=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/v\/bqtlcHiSHTE?version=3&amp;hl=en_GB\" allowFullScreen=\"true\" allowscriptaccess=\"always\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" \/><\/object><\/p>\n<h3>Lessons of the War: Naming of Parts<\/h3>\n<blockquote><p>Today we have naming of parts. Japonica<br \/>\nGlistens like coral in all of the neighbouring gardens,<br \/>\nAnd today we have naming of parts.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>from \u201cLessons of the War: Naming of Parts\u201d by Henry Reed<\/p>\n<p><object width=\"520\" height=\"294\" classid=\"clsid:d27cdb6e-ae6d-11cf-96b8-444553540000\" codebase=\"http:\/\/download.macromedia.com\/pub\/shockwave\/cabs\/flash\/swflash.cab#version=6,0,40,0\"><param name=\"allowFullScreen\" value=\"true\" \/><param name=\"allowscriptaccess\" value=\"always\" \/><param name=\"src\" value=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/v\/tqSubQht96A?version=3&amp;hl=en_GB\" \/><param name=\"allowfullscreen\" value=\"true\" \/><embed width=\"520\" height=\"294\" type=\"application\/x-shockwave-flash\" src=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/v\/tqSubQht96A?version=3&amp;hl=en_GB\" allowFullScreen=\"true\" allowscriptaccess=\"always\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" \/><\/object><\/p>\n<h3>We Learned the Sea<\/h3>\n<blockquote><p>You take the wheel one more time like I showed you<br \/>\nWe\u2019ve reached the strait once even I could not go through<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>from \u201cWe Learned the Sea\u201d by Dar Williams<\/p>\n<p><object width=\"520\" height=\"382\" classid=\"clsid:d27cdb6e-ae6d-11cf-96b8-444553540000\" codebase=\"http:\/\/download.macromedia.com\/pub\/shockwave\/cabs\/flash\/swflash.cab#version=6,0,40,0\"><param name=\"allowFullScreen\" value=\"true\" \/><param name=\"allowscriptaccess\" value=\"always\" \/><param name=\"src\" value=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/v\/q2qzcnrXxPI?version=3&amp;hl=en_GB\" \/><param name=\"allowfullscreen\" value=\"true\" \/><embed width=\"520\" height=\"382\" type=\"application\/x-shockwave-flash\" src=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/v\/q2qzcnrXxPI?version=3&amp;hl=en_GB\" allowFullScreen=\"true\" allowscriptaccess=\"always\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" \/><\/object><\/p>\n<h3>Hold on, Hold on<\/h3>\n<blockquote><p>The most tender place in my heart is for strangers<br \/>\nI know it\u2019s unkind but my own blood is much too dangerous<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>from \u201cHold On, Hold On\u201d by Neko Case<\/p>\n<p><object width=\"512\" height=\"377\" classid=\"clsid:d27cdb6e-ae6d-11cf-96b8-444553540000\" codebase=\"http:\/\/download.macromedia.com\/pub\/shockwave\/cabs\/flash\/swflash.cab#version=6,0,40,0\"><param name=\"allowFullScreen\" value=\"true\" \/><param name=\"allowscriptaccess\" value=\"always\" \/><param name=\"src\" value=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/v\/a0vk5SGmw3w?version=3&amp;hl=en_GB\" \/><param name=\"allowfullscreen\" value=\"true\" \/><embed width=\"512\" height=\"377\" type=\"application\/x-shockwave-flash\" src=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/v\/a0vk5SGmw3w?version=3&amp;hl=en_GB\" allowFullScreen=\"true\" allowscriptaccess=\"always\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" \/><\/object><\/p>\n<h3>Romeo and Juliet<\/h3>\n<blockquote><p>He finds a convenient street light, steps out of the shade<br \/>\nSays something like, \u201cYou and me babe, how about it?\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>from \u201cRomeo and Juliet\u201d by Mark Knopfler<\/p>\n<p><object width=\"520\" height=\"382\" classid=\"clsid:d27cdb6e-ae6d-11cf-96b8-444553540000\" codebase=\"http:\/\/download.macromedia.com\/pub\/shockwave\/cabs\/flash\/swflash.cab#version=6,0,40,0\"><param name=\"allowFullScreen\" value=\"true\" \/><param name=\"allowscriptaccess\" value=\"always\" \/><param name=\"src\" value=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/v\/NtmorUXAwiI?version=3&amp;hl=en_GB\" \/><param name=\"allowfullscreen\" value=\"true\" \/><embed width=\"520\" height=\"382\" type=\"application\/x-shockwave-flash\" src=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/v\/NtmorUXAwiI?version=3&amp;hl=en_GB\" allowFullScreen=\"true\" allowscriptaccess=\"always\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" \/><\/object><\/p>\n<h3>Walk Between the Raindrops<\/h3>\n<blockquote><p>You\u2019re old enough to make a choice<br \/>\nIt\u2019s just that in between all the words on the screen<br \/>\nI doubt you\u2019ll ever hear a human voice<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>from \u201cWalk Between the Raindrops\u201d by James McMurtry<\/p>\n<p><object width=\"520\" height=\"390\" classid=\"clsid:d27cdb6e-ae6d-11cf-96b8-444553540000\" codebase=\"http:\/\/download.macromedia.com\/pub\/shockwave\/cabs\/flash\/swflash.cab#version=6,0,40,0\"><param name=\"allowFullScreen\" value=\"true\" \/><param name=\"allowscriptaccess\" value=\"always\" \/><param name=\"src\" value=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/v\/Yd1G8zB6sYA?version=3&amp;hl=en_GB\" \/><param name=\"allowfullscreen\" value=\"true\" \/><embed width=\"520\" height=\"390\" type=\"application\/x-shockwave-flash\" src=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/v\/Yd1G8zB6sYA?version=3&amp;hl=en_GB\" allowFullScreen=\"true\" allowscriptaccess=\"always\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" \/><\/object><\/p>\n<h3>Down the Mountain<\/h3>\n<blockquote><p>I\u2019m a poor wayfarin\u2019 stranger<br \/>\nI have nothin\u2019 left to lose<br \/>\nI have fallen down the mountain<br \/>\nWretched righteous, flesh for fools<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>from \u201cDown the Mountain\u201d by Robin E. Contreras<\/p>\n<p><object width=\"520\" height=\"293\" classid=\"clsid:d27cdb6e-ae6d-11cf-96b8-444553540000\" codebase=\"http:\/\/download.macromedia.com\/pub\/shockwave\/cabs\/flash\/swflash.cab#version=6,0,40,0\"><param name=\"allowFullScreen\" value=\"true\" \/><param name=\"allowscriptaccess\" value=\"always\" \/><param name=\"src\" value=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/v\/Oa0N202oYC8?version=3&amp;hl=en_GB\" \/><param name=\"allowfullscreen\" value=\"true\" \/><embed width=\"520\" height=\"293\" type=\"application\/x-shockwave-flash\" src=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/v\/Oa0N202oYC8?version=3&amp;hl=en_GB\" allowFullScreen=\"true\" allowscriptaccess=\"always\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" \/><\/object><\/p>\n<h3>The Facts about Jimmy<\/h3>\n<blockquote><p>He\u2019ll say you get just what you get<br \/>\nThe simple truth is always the best<br \/>\nDon\u2019t you see what\u2019s done is done<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>from \u201cThe Facts about Jimmy\u201d by Shawn Colvin &amp; John Leventhal<\/p>\n<p><object width=\"520\" height=\"390\" classid=\"clsid:d27cdb6e-ae6d-11cf-96b8-444553540000\" codebase=\"http:\/\/download.macromedia.com\/pub\/shockwave\/cabs\/flash\/swflash.cab#version=6,0,40,0\"><param name=\"allowFullScreen\" value=\"true\" \/><param name=\"allowscriptaccess\" value=\"always\" \/><param name=\"src\" value=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/v\/6Dp6y50lu0I?version=3&amp;hl=en_GB\" \/><param name=\"allowfullscreen\" value=\"true\" \/><embed width=\"520\" height=\"390\" type=\"application\/x-shockwave-flash\" src=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/v\/6Dp6y50lu0I?version=3&amp;hl=en_GB\" allowFullScreen=\"true\" allowscriptaccess=\"always\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" \/><\/object><\/p>\n<h3>Short People<\/h3>\n<blockquote><p>Don\u2019t want no Short People<br \/>\n\u2018Round here<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>from \u201cShort People\u201d by Randy Newman<\/p>\n<p><object width=\"520\" height=\"293\" classid=\"clsid:d27cdb6e-ae6d-11cf-96b8-444553540000\" codebase=\"http:\/\/download.macromedia.com\/pub\/shockwave\/cabs\/flash\/swflash.cab#version=6,0,40,0\"><param name=\"allowFullScreen\" value=\"true\" \/><param name=\"allowscriptaccess\" value=\"always\" \/><param name=\"src\" value=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/v\/cpER--qDgMY?version=3&amp;hl=en_GB\" \/><param name=\"allowfullscreen\" value=\"true\" \/><embed width=\"520\" height=\"293\" type=\"application\/x-shockwave-flash\" src=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/v\/cpER--qDgMY?version=3&amp;hl=en_GB\" allowFullScreen=\"true\" allowscriptaccess=\"always\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" \/><\/object><\/p>\n<h3>Camel Walk<\/h3>\n<blockquote><p>Yo ye pharoahs, let us walk<br \/>\nThrough this barren desert, in search of truth<br \/>\nAnd some pointy boots, and maybe a few snack crackers.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>from \u201cCamel Walk\u201d by Rick Miller<\/p>\n<p><object width=\"520\" height=\"390\" classid=\"clsid:d27cdb6e-ae6d-11cf-96b8-444553540000\" codebase=\"http:\/\/download.macromedia.com\/pub\/shockwave\/cabs\/flash\/swflash.cab#version=6,0,40,0\"><param name=\"allowFullScreen\" value=\"true\" \/><param name=\"allowscriptaccess\" value=\"always\" \/><param name=\"src\" value=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/v\/YdllhlJXXlU?version=3&amp;hl=en_GB\" \/><param name=\"allowfullscreen\" value=\"true\" \/><embed width=\"520\" height=\"390\" type=\"application\/x-shockwave-flash\" src=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/v\/YdllhlJXXlU?version=3&amp;hl=en_GB\" allowFullScreen=\"true\" allowscriptaccess=\"always\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" \/><\/object><\/p>\n<h3>Idiot Wind<\/h3>\n<blockquote><p>They say I shot a man named Gray, and took his wife to Italy.<br \/>\nShe inherited a million bucks, and when she died it came to me.<br \/>\nI can\u2019t help it if I\u2019m lucky.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>from <a href=\"http:\/\/lockerz.com\/u\/20689408\/decalz\/7692586\/_bob_dylan_idiot_wind_live_album_hard\" target=\"_blank\">\u201cIdiot Wind\u201d<\/a> by Bob Dylan<\/p>\n<h3>You Cannot Win if You Do Not Play<\/h3>\n<blockquote><p>I saw a little teddy bear.<br \/>\nWell, I said to myself,<br \/>\n&#8220;I know what I want. I gotta get a bear some way.&#8221;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>from &#8220;You cannot win if you do not play&#8221; by Steve Forbert<\/p>\n<p><object width=\"520\" height=\"390\" classid=\"clsid:d27cdb6e-ae6d-11cf-96b8-444553540000\" codebase=\"http:\/\/download.macromedia.com\/pub\/shockwave\/cabs\/flash\/swflash.cab#version=6,0,40,0\"><param name=\"allowFullScreen\" value=\"true\" \/><param name=\"allowscriptaccess\" value=\"always\" \/><param name=\"src\" value=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/v\/x9VL48cPVPw?version=3&amp;hl=en_GB\" \/><param name=\"allowfullscreen\" value=\"true\" \/><embed width=\"520\" height=\"390\" type=\"application\/x-shockwave-flash\" src=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/v\/x9VL48cPVPw?version=3&amp;hl=en_GB\" allowFullScreen=\"true\" allowscriptaccess=\"always\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" \/><\/object><\/p>\n<h3>People&#8217;s Parties<\/h3>\n<p><em>Some are watching it from the wings<\/em><br \/>\n<em> Some are standing in the center<\/em><\/p>\n<p>\u2013from \u201cPeople\u2019s Parties\u201d by Joni Mitchell<\/p>\n<p><object width=\"520\" height=\"390\" classid=\"clsid:d27cdb6e-ae6d-11cf-96b8-444553540000\" codebase=\"http:\/\/download.macromedia.com\/pub\/shockwave\/cabs\/flash\/swflash.cab#version=6,0,40,0\"><param name=\"allowFullScreen\" value=\"true\" \/><param name=\"allowscriptaccess\" value=\"always\" \/><param name=\"src\" value=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/v\/4HMHA0f-7v4?version=3&amp;hl=en_GB\" \/><param name=\"allowfullscreen\" value=\"true\" \/><embed width=\"520\" height=\"390\" type=\"application\/x-shockwave-flash\" src=\"http:\/\/www.youtube.com\/v\/4HMHA0f-7v4?version=3&amp;hl=en_GB\" allowFullScreen=\"true\" allowscriptaccess=\"always\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" \/><\/object><\/p>\n<h2>Thank you<\/h2>\n<p>I&#8217;d like to thank those who have read the blog over the past year (and beyond). Special thanks go to those who<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/feed\" target=\"_blank\">subscribe to the RSS feed<\/a><\/li>\n<li>subscribe via email<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/portfolioprobe\" target=\"_blank\">follow us on twitter<\/a><\/li>\n<li>have made comments<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>All the best in the coming year.<\/p>\n<!-- AddThis Advanced Settings generic via filter on the_content --><!-- AddThis Share Buttons generic via filter on the_content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Highlights of the blog over the past year. Most popular posts The posts with the most hits during the year. The top 7 portfolio optimization problems A tale of two returns (posted in 2010) A practical introduction to garch modeling A look at Bayesian statistics A comparison of some heuristic optimization methods The distribution of &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/2012\/12\/31\/blog-year-2012-in-review\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><!-- AddThis Advanced Settings generic via filter on get_the_excerpt --><!-- AddThis Share Buttons generic via filter on get_the_excerpt --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[196],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9693"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9693"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9693\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9693"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9693"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.portfolioprobe.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9693"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}